Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.995886 13.459579 15.133216 17.212134 19.759302 22.825276 26.869921
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.862907 11.553837 13.625887 16.414782 20.175836 25.244413 32.931215
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.787496 10.607382 12.949976 16.297182 21.164601 28.376551 40.800934
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.988230 9.858683 12.357100 16.096809 21.878115 31.169601 49.183349
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.426444 9.338297 11.974053 16.083899 22.801813 34.472373 60.031201
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.030244 8.991204 11.774248 16.283904 24.066617 38.705697 75.392498
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.531803 8.448288 11.221649 15.835496 24.108344 40.604933 86.601211
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.208425 8.127213 10.962730 15.818147 24.906432 44.308070 106.173194
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.810638 7.665092 10.442698 15.289355 24.624896 45.515062 119.099500
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.403694 7.163133 9.821186 14.515886 23.729780 45.008317 125.417001
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.070197 6.753190 9.317299 13.900763 23.066516 44.925499 133.952708
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.192833 7.043624 9.956471 15.414249 27.185601 59.362813 247.760301
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.116282 7.031193 10.116972 16.105400 29.802792 71.781768 432.045315
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.810082 6.635633 9.597850 15.406827 28.933474 71.927552 497.785547
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.627260 6.427881 9.386860 15.302376 29.546532 78.129532 740.245903
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.448334 6.215877 9.152065 15.120509 29.922324 83.779768 1134.969271
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.309350 6.061340 9.007102 15.108797 30.764663 92.341725 2215.779787
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.208312 5.963569 8.955899 15.290582 32.212021 105.557528 8177.148438
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.034489 5.735206 8.651522 14.882874 31.821456 108.541873 22264.909609
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.924363 5.609204 8.527885 14.867088 32.644887 120.013866 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.761833 5.387167 8.212838 14.385543 31.890559 120.555365 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.579747 5.125686 7.812620 13.679745 30.304402 114.319980 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.424675 4.905931 7.482689 13.117192 29.126530 110.641026 NaN